Saturday, January 14, 2012

TEAMtalk's Numbers Game points to a 7/1 shock in the Premier League, selects a Banker from League Two and has five more Hot-Shots to follow.

@MattPBriggs' Numbers game had to rely on its Hot-Shot selections for any joy last week as Barnsley's Ricardo Vaz Te (12/5) and Carlisle's Francois Zoko (11/8) scored, while we got our stake returned on Kenny Miller, who was a non-runner.

Our pointers are back this week with five more goalscorers, a 7/1 shock at Stamford Bridge and an 8/11 shot from League Two that is a must for all your accumulators.

STEAMER

Tottenham are now starting to look like genuine title contenders and punters clearly have taken this on board as they have been heavily backed into 1/4 to defeat Wolves at White Hart Lane.

BANKER

Cheltenham to beat Aldershot at 8/11.

The Robins, who are third in League Two, are still not getting the credit they deserve by the bookies and they should be too good to see off Aldershot. The Shots have won four times away from home, but their last away success was back in October and they have only scored one goal in their last seven games.

WHO'S HOT

Sunderland (7/1) have won their last three games and travel to Chelsea (2/5).

Derby (5/6) have won their last four games and host Coventry (16/5).

Sheffield Wednesday (13/10) have won their last three games and host Charlton (2/1).

Cheltenham (8/11) are nine games unbeaten in League Two and host Aldershot (4/1).

Oxford (8/11) are six games unbeaten in League Two and host Crewe (7/2).

Carlisle (100/30) are seven games unbeaten in League One and travel to MK Dons (5/6).

Accrington (8/11) are 10 games unbeaten in League Two and host Barnet (7/2).

WHO'S NOT

Ipswich (9/5) have lost their last three games and travel to Birmingham (11/8).

Wycombe (7/2) have lost their last three League One games and travel to PNE (8/11).

Port Vale (10/11) have lost their last three League Two games and host AFC Wimbledon (3/1).

AFC Wimbledon (3/1) have lost their last seven games and face Port Vale (10/11).

Wolves (12/1) are six games without a win in the Premier League and travel to Spurs (1/4).

QPR (4/1) are eight games without a win in the Premier League and travel to Newcastle (8/11) (Sun).

TRADERS' VIEW

Sky Bet are not keen on Liverpool at home to Stoke.

"Liverpool look plenty short enough this weekend at 2/5 to beat Stoke at Anfield. Liverpool are in good form but they may be weary following their midweek Carling Cup match at Man City and they have struggled at home against teams they should beat."

The online layers are also wary of Leicester.

"Leicester also look too short at 8/13 against an unpredictable Barnsley side. The Foxes have drawn their last three home games 1-1 and cannot be trusted at odds on to gain three points here."

BOGEY TEAMS

Stoke (15/2) have never won away in the top flight v Liverpool (2/5) in 48 attempts.

Aston Villa (11/8) have lost none of the last 11 matches v Everton (2/1).

Chelsea (2/5) have won 13 of the last 14 Premier League meetings v Sunderland (7/1).

Bolton (16/1) have won only one of their last 18 league meetings with Manchester United (1/7).

West Brom (evens) have won their last four league matches against Norwich (11/4).

QPR (4/1) have won none of the last five meetings with Newcastle (8/11).

Bristol City (11/5) have only lost one of their last six visits to Brighton (5/4).

Derby (5/6) have lost just one of last 18 at home to Coventry (16/5).

Doncaster (11/4) have won just one of last 10 meetings v Cardiff (evens).

Blackpool (11/8) have never won at Ipswich (9/5) in eight attempts.

Leicester (8/13) have won their last five home games v Barnsley (9/2).

Bury (12/5) have won just one of last 13 v Sheff Utd (11/10).

Preston (8/11) are unbeaten in last nine v Wycombe (7/2).

Crewe (7/2) have never won at Oxford (8/11) in seven visits.

VALUE BET

Sunderland to beat Chelsea at 7/1 (half stake) & Sunderland double chance at 15/8 (half stake).

The Black Cats look revitalised under Martin O'Neill and with James McClean and Lee Cattermole in the engine room Sunderland look a resolute unit. O'Neill will have Sunderland, who won 3-0 at Chelsea last season, well drilled and they are more than capable of grabbing at least a draw against a Chelsea side who have recently slipped up against Fulham and Aston Villa.

HOT-SHOTS

Blackpool's Matty Phillips has scored seven in his last four and is 6/4 to score at Ipswich.

Oxford's Jon-Paul Pittman has scored three in his last five and is 6/4 to net at home to Crewe.

Bradford's James Hanson has scored five in his last six and is 11/8 to score at home to Morecambe.

Norwich's Steve Morison has scored in his last two games and is 12/5 to net at WBA.

Watford's Marvin Sordell has scored three in his last three and is 7/4 to score at home to Reading.

TREATMENT ROOM

Newcastle to beat QPR at 8/11 (Sun).

R's captain Joey Barton is banned, while Adel Taarabt and Armand Traore are on African Nations Cup duty. Alejandro Faurlin (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of the season and Paddy Kenny (hip) is still a doubt.

Norwich to win at West Brom at 11/4.

Roy Hodgson has to assess the chances of centre-backs Gareth McAuley and Jonas Olsson (both calf), winger Jerome Thomas (groin), midfielders Paul Scharner (Achilles) and Youssouf Mulumbu (groin) plus striker Shane Long (back) being available. Skipper Chris Brunt, fellow midfielder Zoltan Gera and defender Steven Reid are definitely ruled out.

West Ham to win at Portsmouth at 7/5.

West Ham have the rare luxury of an almost fully-fit squad. Rob Green, James Tomkins, skipper Kevin Nolan, Mark Noble and Carlton Cole are all set to return to the starting line-up. Gary O'Neil and Frederic Piquionne will hope to figure against their former club.

FAMOUS LAST WORDS

Bradford to beat Morecambe at 5/4.

After last week's 4-2 FA Cup defeat at Watford, Bradford boss Phil Parkinson said: "I was a bit disappointed that we started slow, conceded that early goal, then we responded well to it and did okay first half. But second half I thought we started the better of the two sides but then got hit with that sucker punch of the two goals but we carried on and got one back and had a goal disallowed."

Dagenham & Redbridge to beat Hereford at evens.

Speaking after last weekend's goalless draw with Millwall, Daggers boss John Still said: "When I picked the team and looked at the age of it, we were so low on experience, but I thought the lads were terrific.

"It was a good performance. It was a draw so we go again, but for some of the young ones it will be the right sort of experience for them. They'll get a lot out of that and maybe even rise to the occasion there as well, because for us, as a small club, against a Championship side we more than held our own."

Let us know your views on the weekend's football betting action by posting a comment below.

You can follow Matty on Twitter at @mattpbriggs.